Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning · LW · #38

CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1036 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at NYI, 2026-10-10: 6, cleared, 21.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 21 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 6, cleared, 23.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 20.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 18.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 20.6 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 7, cleared, 22.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 20.2 min
vs DET, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 22.1 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 2nd most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 29 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 21.5 min · 2026–27: 21.5 (14 games)
Power play: 4 min last 5 · 4.1 2026–27

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Shots on Goal: 2 in 23.8 min, Jan 23 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −103
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.3; 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−50001 book	—	10/10
−7802 books	—	8/10
−2252 books	—	7/10
−1036 books	−1405 books	5/10
+2202 books	—	5/10
+4502 books	—	3/10
+9501 book	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+118Best	−154
Pinnacle3 min ago	+107	−142
DraftKings3 min ago	+105	−140
Bally Bet3 min ago	−103	−137Best
betPARX2 min ago	−103	−137Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−103	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −122 → −103 since first seen

Brandon Hagel's full game log and splits