Brandon Hagel
CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 3.44 goals a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 6th most
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 14; with him: 34 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Time on ice
Last 5: 21.5 min · 2026–27: 21.5 (14 games)
Power play: 4 min last 5 · 4.1 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Goals: 0 in 23.8 min, Jan 23 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 47%
- at +115
- Books’ fair
- 41%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 21.3
- 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 41%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1156 books | −1802 books | 4/10 | |
| +5505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +22005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +90003 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings5 min ago | +145Best | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +135 | −180 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +125 | −167Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +115 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | +115 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +115 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:56 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +130 → +115 since first seen


