Brandon Hagel
CHI @ TB · Today 7:00 PMGame log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Arvid Soderblom (Expected)
Saves: 268 of 307 (.873) over his last 10 games · 1 of CHI's last 10 starts · Spencer Knight started 9
Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 14; with him: 31 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CHI allow 4.13 assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 4.00, 9th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 21.5 min · 2026–27: 21.5 (14 games)
Power play: 4 min last 5 · 4.1 2026–27
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Assists: 1 in 23.8 min, Jan 23 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −127
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 21.3
- 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1276 books | −1402 books | 4/10 | |
| +5601 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +18001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings18 min ago | +105Best | −140 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +102 | — |
| Pinnacle18 min ago | +100 | −133Best |
| Bally Bet18 min ago | −127 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −127 | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −127 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −104 → −127 since first seen


