Blake Coleman

Minnesota Wild · LW · #20

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1855 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Brock Faber: Injured Reserve (skull)
Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Nick Foligno: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 13; with him: 1 of 3 (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Expected)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of PHI's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 6.69 points a game to forwards: 12th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.90, 21st most

80%8 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).

at WPG, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 14.6 min
vs STL, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 17.6 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 16.5 min
at EDM, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17.6 min
at CGY, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at SEA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.5 min
at VAN, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15.5 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 16.3 min
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 16.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Kirill KaprizovLW
Quinn HughesD
Matt BoldyLW
Brock FaberDInjured Reserve
Nick FolignoLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wild count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Coleman didn't play the Mar 12 meeting; points the last time Coleman faced them: 1 (Dec 31, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −185
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −174

Research, not a pick. At −185 the price is worse than our fair −174, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1505 books	−1851 book	8/10
	+7505 books	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+135	−185Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	+150Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+150Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+150Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+140	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under No move since first seen

Blake Coleman's full game log and splits