Ben Kindel

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #81

VGK @ PIT · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1653 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Bryan Rust playing; Rust is out tonight. Without him: Over 1.5 in 8 of 11.

TonightTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 8 of 11; with him: 45 of 81 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Evgeni Malkin: Out (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 25; with him: 43 of 69 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 7; with him: 4 of 4 (11 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Carter Hart started VGK's last game
Saves: 221 of 247 (.895) over his last 10 games · 5 of VGK's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet

80%4 of 5L20 · Without Rust

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of 5 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs FLA, 2026-04-05: 1, missed, 11.6 min (not counted)
at NJ, 2026-04-09: 1, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 18.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 3, cleared, 11 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 1, missed, 13.1 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 10.3 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 2, cleared, 11.8 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 2, cleared, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 5, cleared, 14.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 2, cleared, 18.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 2, cleared, 19.6 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 3, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.5 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 17.1 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 15 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 4, cleared, 15.6 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 16.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 16.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCOut
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Shots on Goal: 4 in 15.6 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 1.5

Average: 2.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 3; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 4 of 5
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Time on ice: 16.9; 5 games · 14.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 58%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−7001 book	—	5/5
−1653 books	+1203 books	4/5
+1701 book	—	3/5
+4251 book	—	1/5
+11001 book	—	1/5

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 hr ago	−162Best	+115
DraftKings2 hr ago	−165	+120
Pinnacle2 hr ago	−167	+125Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −170 → −165 since first seen

Ben Kindel's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.