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Ben Kindel

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #81

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2956 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 11; with him: 12 of 81 (92 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 7; with him: 2 of 4 (11 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 62; with him: 3 of 20 (82 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Adin Hill (Expected)

    Saves: 233 of 262 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of VGK's last 10 starts

Game log against Over 0.5

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Rust

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of 5 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

  1. vs FLA, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 11.6 min (not counted)
  2. at NJ, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 14.8 min (not counted)
  3. at STL, 2026-04-14: 0, missed, 18.1 min
  4. vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 13 min (not counted)
  5. vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 11 min (not counted)
  6. at PHI, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 13.1 min (not counted)
  7. at PHI, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 10.3 min (not counted)
  8. vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 11.8 min (not counted)
  9. at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
  10. vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 14.3 min
  11. vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 1, cleared, 18.6 min
  12. at WSH, 2026-10-07: 0, missed, 19.6 min (not counted)
  13. at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 17.3 min (not counted)
  14. vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
  15. at CHI, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 17.1 min (not counted)
  16. at COL, 2026-10-16: 0, missed, 15 min (not counted)
  17. at VGK, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 15.6 min (not counted)
  18. at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
  19. vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 16.5 min
  20. at MTL, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 16.8 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Count only

Over 0.5 · L20

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Erik KarlssonD

  • Sidney CrosbyC

  • Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve

  • Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve

  • Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Goals: 0 in 15.6 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 0.5

Average
0.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5
Price implies
25%
at +295
Books’ fair
24%
margin removed
Time on ice
16.9
5 games · 14.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 24%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+2956 books−4361 book3/5
+20005 books—0/5
+225001 book—0/5
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
betPARX3 min ago+300Best—
BetRivers3 min ago+300Best—
FanDuel2 min ago+300Best—
Bally Bet12 min ago+290—
DraftKings12 min ago+290—
Pinnacle12 min ago+290−436Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +285 → +295 since first seen

Ben Kindel's full game log and splits