Artturi Lehkonen

Colorado Avalanche · LW · #62

COL @ CBJ · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1282 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played the day before (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 56 of 88 (96 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jet Greaves started CBJ's last game
Saves: 188 of 212 (.887) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 18.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 18.3, 24th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 19.8 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 1, missed, 22 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 3, cleared, 18.6 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 19.1 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 2, cleared, 16.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 18.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 18.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 18.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 15.8 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 19.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Shots on Goal: 2 in 20.6 min, Jan 10 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −128
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4751 book	—	10/10
−1282 books	−1082 books	7/10
+2701 book	—	3/10
+7501 book	—	2/10
+20001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings7 hr ago	−115Best	−120
Bally Bet7 hr ago	−143	+102Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −180 → −128 since first seen

Artturi Lehkonen's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.