Artturi Lehkonen

Colorado Avalanche · LW · #62

COL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −3306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Avalanche played last night (at CHI): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Josh Manson: Out (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 60 of 89 (97 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 178 of 207 (.860) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
12 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 14th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at DAL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 19.8 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-14: 1, missed, 22 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-16: 0, hit, 18.6 min
at PHI, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 19.1 min
at NJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 16.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 18.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 18.5 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 15.8 min
at CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 19.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nathan MacKinnonC
Martin NecasC
Devon ToewsD
Josh MansonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Avalanche count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Assists: 0 in 20.6 min, Jan 10 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 77%; at −330
Books’ fair: 72%; margin removed
Our chance: 70%; estimate · fair −237

Research, not a pick. At −330 the price is worse than our fair −237, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2006 books	−3301 book	6/10
	+8272 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 min ago	+235Best	−330Best
Bally Bet11 min ago	+200	—
betPARX5 min ago	+200	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+200	—
Bovada11 min ago	+146	—
FanDuel6 min ago	+146	—

Prices as of 5:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Artturi Lehkonen's full game log and splits