Alexis Lafreniere

New York Rangers · LW · #13

NYR @ SEA · Today 5:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2397 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs TB, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 19.4 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 16.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 22.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 2, missed, 17 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 19.1 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 18.7 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 18.5 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 17.8 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 15.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 17.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 0.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 8 of 14 (17 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Philipp Grubauer (Expected)
Saves: 217 of 246 (.882) over his last 10 games · 6 of SEA's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
SEA allow 4.00 assists a game to forwards: 10th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 4.20, 8th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.6 min · 2026–27: 18.6 (17 games)
Power play: 1.8 min last 5 · 3 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Mika ZibanejadC
J.T. MillerLW
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Assists: 0 in 14.3 min, Jan 12 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against SEA on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −239
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −192

Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −192, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1507 books	−2392 books	7/10
	+10003 books	—	9/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+150	−205Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	+174	−239
Bally Bet5 min ago	+143	—
betPARX5 min ago	+143	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+143	—
Bovada5 min ago	+180Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+172	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Alexis Lafreniere's full game log and splits