Alex DeBrincat

Detroit Red Wings · RW · #93

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1156 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Larkin

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of 7 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-09: 3, missed, 16.1 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-04-11: 1, missed, 21.2 min (not counted)
at TB, 2026-04-13: 6, cleared, 17.9 min (not counted)
at FLA, 2026-04-15: 1, missed, 18.6 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 19.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 23.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, missed, 18.8 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 3, missed, 16 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 7, cleared, 21.8 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 6, cleared, 21.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 4, cleared, 20.9 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 19.3 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 23.8 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 15.3 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 3, missed, 21.9 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 4, cleared, 18 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 18.8 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 18.7 min
at TB, 2026-11-03: 4, cleared, 22.9 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 38 of 84 (98 games as teammates)
TodayOpposing goalie
Carter Hart (Expected)
Saves: 221 of 247 (.895) over his last 10 games · 4 of VGK's last 10 starts · Adin Hill started 6
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 3.5 without him: 13 of 26; with him: 32 of 72 (98 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 3.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 42 of 93 (98 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VGK in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against VGK on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Lucas RaymondLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Viktor ArvidssonLW
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Shots on Goal: 3 in 20.7 min, Mar 4 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 3.5

Average: 3; −0.5 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 47%; at +115
Books’ fair: 42%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20; 7 games · 18.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−6202 books	—	5/7
−1922 books	—	5/7
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/7
+1156 books	−1685 books	4/7
+2752 books	—	0/7
+5502 books	—	0/7
+12001 book	—	0/7

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+128Best	−168
DraftKings2 min ago	+125	−175
Pinnacle2 min ago	+125	−175
Bally Bet2 min ago	+115	−162Best
betPARX2 min ago	+115	−162Best
BetRivers3 min ago	+115	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +134 → +115 since first seen

Alex DeBrincat's full game log and splits