Aaron Ekblad

Florida Panthers · D · #5

FLA @ WSH · Today 12:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1063 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at CBJ, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 21.5 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-15: 3, cleared, 22.4 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20 min
at OTT, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 19.1 min
at PIT, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 21.4 min
at CHI, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 22.5 min
at WPG, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 19.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 21.3 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 20.4 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-04: 2, cleared, 23.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Aleksander Barkov: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 33 of 84; with him: 8 of 19 (103 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Brad Marchand: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 16 of 35; with him: 25 of 68 (103 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Saves: 236 of 266 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
WSH allow 7.1 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 21st most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.9, 25th most

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Matthew TkachukLW
Seth JonesD
Brady TkachukLW
Aleksander BarkovCInjured Reserve
Brad MarchandLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Panthers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Shots on Goal: 1 in 26.1 min, Jan 17 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against WSH on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.1; 10 games · 22.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1063 books	−1322 books	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−106Best	−132Best
betPARX2 min ago	−106Best	−132Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−106Best	—

Prices as of 12:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Aaron Ekblad's full game log and splits