Zay Flowers

Baltimore Ravens · WR · #4

LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1082 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs CHI, 2025-10-26: 8, cleared, 1 carries
at MIN, 2025-11-09: 6, cleared, 1 carries
at CLE, 2025-11-16: 5, cleared, 1 carries
vs NYJ, 2025-11-23: 11, cleared, 2 carries
vs PIT, 2025-12-07: 2, missed, 1 carries
vs NE, 2025-12-21: 18, cleared, 1 carries
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 20, cleared, 1 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 13, cleared, 1 carries
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 1 carries
vs JAX, 2026-11-05: 17, cleared, 3 carries

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineCarries

What's different on Monday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Lamar Jackson at quarterback; Jackson is out on Monday. Without him (BAL): Over 3.5 in 3 of 4.

MonQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 9 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 2 (led the last game). Over 3.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 14 of 19; with another BAL quarterback: 3 of 4
Carries
Last 3: 1.7 carries · 2026: 1.5 (4 games)
Rest
10 days off since Nov 5 vs JAX
Game lines
BAL −4 · total 38.5 (5 sportsbooks)
BAL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games) · Flowers has 4 games this season

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Rushing Yards: 37 in 1 carries, Nov 26, 2023 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 10.1; +6.6 vs line
Median: 9.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Carries: 1.3; 10 games · 1.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1082 books	−1232 books	8/10
+1141 book	—	8/10
+2351 book	—	5/10
+4001 book	—	3/10
+6301 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Pinnacle7 min ago	−107Best	−123
FanDuel7 min ago	−108	−120Best

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: No move since first seen