Tyler Shough

New Orleans Saints · QB · #6

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1225 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs NYJ, 2025-12-21: 8, missed, 2 carries
at TEN, 2025-12-28: 6, missed, 4 carries
at ATL, 2026-01-04: 34, cleared, 3 carries
at DET, 2026-09-13: 8, missed, 4 carries
at BAL, 2026-09-20: 23, cleared, 9 carries
vs LV, 2026-09-27: 36, cleared, 1 carries
vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 5, missed, 2 carries
at NYG, 2026-10-18: 32, cleared, 5 carries
vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 3 carries
vs CLE, 2026-11-08: 51, cleared, 10 carries

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CAR allow 18.3 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 6 carries · 2026: 4.9 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CLE
Game lines
NO −2.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Rushing Yards: 32 in 8 carries, Dec 14, 2025 (home)

Over 16.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 21; +4.5 vs line
Median: 15.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 4.3; 10 games · 4.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2754 books	—	5/10
−1461 book	—	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
−1225 books	−1184 books	5/10
—	—	5/10
+1074 books	—	5/10
+2001 book	—	4/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	−122	—
betPARX4 min ago	−122	−118
BetRivers4 min ago	−122	−118
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−114 → −122 since first seen