Tyler Shough
CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PMGame log against Over 4.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickCarries
Last 3: 6 carries · 2026: 4.9 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CLE
Game lines
NO −2.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)
CAR injuries
Will Lee III (CB, Out, 4.7 tackles); Mike Jackson (CB, Injured Reserve, 4 tackles); Jaelan Phillips (LB, Out, 3.2 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 2 more on the report
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CAR in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs CAR
Rushing Attempts: 8 in 8 carries, Dec 14, 2025 (home)
Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 4.3
- 10 games · 4.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14303 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2103 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1123 books | −1301 book | 3/10 | |
| +1503 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4003 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −112Best | −130Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −112Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5−108 → −112 since first seen


