Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Tyler Shough

New Orleans Saints · QB · #6

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1123 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. vs NYJ, 2025-12-21: 2, missed, 2 carries
  2. at TEN, 2025-12-28: 4, missed, 4 carries
  3. at ATL, 2026-01-04: 3, missed, 3 carries
  4. at DET, 2026-09-13: 4, missed, 4 carries
  5. at BAL, 2026-09-20: 9, cleared, 9 carries
  6. vs LV, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 carries
  7. vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 2, missed, 2 carries
  8. at NYG, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 5 carries
  9. vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 3 carries
  10. vs CLE, 2026-11-08: 10, cleared, 10 carries
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Carries

    Last 3: 6 carries · 2026: 4.9 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs CLE

  • Game lines

    NO −2.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    NO's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

  • CAR injuries

    Will Lee III (CB, Out, 4.7 tackles); Mike Jackson (CB, Injured Reserve, 4 tackles); Jaelan Phillips (LB, Out, 3.2 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 2 more on the report

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Rushing Attempts: 8 in 8 carries, Dec 14, 2025 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
4.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
3.5
−1 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −112
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Carries
4.3
10 games · 4.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−14303 books—9/10
−2103 books—5/10
−1123 books−1301 book3/10
+1503 books—2/10
+4003 books—2/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
Bally Bet3 min ago−112Best—
betPARX3 min ago−112Best−130Best
BetRivers3 min ago−112Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−108 → −112 since first seen

Tyler Shough's full game log and splits