Tyler Shough

New Orleans Saints · QB · #6

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under24.5

Over 24.5 Completions, typical price −1094 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 24.5 Completions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at TEN, 2025-12-28: 22, missed, 27 attempts
at ATL, 2026-01-04: 23, missed, 35 attempts
at DET, 2026-09-13: 35, cleared, 56 attempts
at BAL, 2026-09-20: 27, cleared, 34 attempts
vs LV, 2026-09-27: 29, cleared, 42 attempts
vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 30, cleared, 48 attempts
vs MIN, 2026-10-11: 16, missed, 25 attempts
at NYG, 2026-10-18: 16, missed, 30 attempts
vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 30, cleared, 38 attempts
vs CLE, 2026-11-08: 21, missed, 35 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 24.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 15.1–33.1 completions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CAR allow 22.0 completions a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 34.3 attempts · 2026: 38.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CLE
Game lines
NO −2.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 24.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 24.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Completions: 24 in 32 attempts, Dec 14, 2025 (home)

Over 24.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 24.5

Average: 24.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 25; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −109
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair −102

Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −102, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7153 books	—	8/10
−2953 books	—	7/10
−1503 books	—	5/10
−1094 books	−1322 books	5/10
+1253 books	—	5/10
+2153 books	—	4/10
+3703 books	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 24.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 24.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 24.5	Under 24.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−109Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−109Best	−132
BetRivers4 min ago	−109Best	—
Bovada4 min ago	−115	−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

24.5

−105 → −109 since first seen