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Ty JohnsonQuestionable

Buffalo Bills · RB · #26

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder15.5
Over 15.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 15.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. at PIT, 2025-11-30: 20, cleared, 5 targets
  2. vs CIN, 2025-12-07: 14, missed, 3 targets
  3. at NE, 2025-12-14: 15, missed, 3 targets
  4. vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 33, cleared, 4 targets
  5. vs NYJ, 2026-01-04: 20, cleared, 2 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 50, cleared, 4 targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 9, missed, 2 targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 72, cleared, 4 targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 24, cleared, 2 targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 19, cleared, 3 targets
ClearedMissedThe 15.5 lineTargets

What's different on Monday

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • MonDefense vs running backs

    MIN allow 18.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32

    7 games

  • Quarterback

    Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 15.5 with Allen at quarterback: 16 of 38; with another BUF quarterback: 1 of 2

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 3 (5 games)

    Target share: 11% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 15.5

Average
27.6
+12.1 vs line
Median
20
+4.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
3.2
10 games · 2.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 15.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4901 book—10/10
−2301 book—9/10
−1281 book—8/10
−1141 book−1141 book7/10
+1261 book—6/10
+1881 book—3/10
+2701 book—3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 15.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 15.5Under 15.5
FanDuel3 min ago−114Best−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

Over: No move since first seen

Ty Johnson's full game log and splits