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Ty JohnsonQuestionable

Buffalo Bills · RB · #26

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +8005 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs CIN, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  2. at NE, 2025-12-14: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
  3. at CLE, 2025-12-21: 1, cleared, 3 carries + targets
  4. vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
  5. vs NYJ, 2026-01-04: 2, cleared, 15 carries + targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Monday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 0.5 with Allen at quarterback: 9 of 49; with another BUF quarterback: 1 of 2

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 4.7 carries + targets · 2026: 4.2 (5 games)

    Target share: 11% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

  • Game lines

    BUF −3 · total 44.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
11%
at +800
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
6
10 games · 4.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+8005 bookspick'em only2/10
+90005 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago+800Best—
betPARX4 min ago+800Best—
BetRivers4 min ago+800Best—
FanDuel4 min ago+800Best—
Bovada4 min ago+725—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:31 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Ty Johnson's full game log and splits