Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Tucker Kraft

Green Bay Packers · TE · #85

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Receptions, typical price −1134 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at PIT, 2025-10-26: 7, cleared, 9 targets
  2. vs CAR, 2025-11-02: 2, missed, 3 targets
  3. at MIN, 2026-09-13: 3, missed, 6 targets
  4. at NYJ, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 3 targets
  5. vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 4, missed, 8 targets
  6. at TB, 2026-10-04: 6, cleared, 7 targets
  7. vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 5, cleared, 5 targets
  8. vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 8 targets
  9. at DET, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 6 targets
  10. vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 6, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineTargets

Count only

Over 4.5 · L10

Matchup · 8 games

NE allow 5.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 17th most of 32

Rest

9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
4.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
4.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
6.1
10 games · 5.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−100003 books—10/10
−8354 books—8/10
−2654 books—7/10
−1134 books−1142 books5/10
+1854 books—3/10
+3704 books—1/10
+7504 books—0/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
Bally Bet7 min ago−113Best—
betPARX7 min ago−113Best−115
BetRivers7 min ago−114—
FanDuel7 min ago−114−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over −114 → −113 since first seen

Tucker Kraft's full game log and splits