Tucker Kraft
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
What's different tonight
Over 45.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 45.5 with Love at quarterback: 18 of 42; with another GB quarterback: 0 of 3
Defense vs tight ends
NE allow 52.4 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 16th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6.1 (8 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game log against Over 45.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 45.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 45.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 45.5
- Average
- 51.3
- +5.8 vs line
- Median
- 45
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.1
- 10 games · 5.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 45.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1674 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| −1144 books | −1143 books | 5/10 | |
| +1124 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1884 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3104 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 45.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 45.5 | Under 45.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
45.546.5 → 45.5 since first seen