Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars · QB · #16

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1656 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 on the road).

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 passing tds.

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
TEN allow 1.38 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 21st most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 27 attempts · 2026: 28 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Nov 5 at BAL
Game lines
JAX −10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.3 on average (8 games)

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs TEN

Passing TDs: 3 in 30 attempts, Jan 4 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against TEN on record

Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14001 book	—	9/10
−1656 books	+1255 books	7/10
+2254 books	—	6/10
+6004 books	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

1.5

Over: No move since first seen