Trevor Lawrence
JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 8.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
TEN allow 17.1 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 12th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 2.3 carries · 2026: 2.6 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Nov 5 at BAL
Game lines
JAX −10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.3 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs TEN
Rushing Yards: 11 in 2 carries, Jan 4 (home)
Over 8.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against TEN on record
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 12.1
- +3.6 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 2.9
- 10 games · 4.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1981 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1162 books | 6/10 | |
| −1254 books | −1153 books | 6/10 | |
| −1104 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2201 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3601 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada14 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
| Bally Bet14 min ago | −125 | — |
| betPARX14 min ago | −125 | −115Best |
| BetRivers14 min ago | −125 | −115Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.59.5 → 8.5 since first seen