Tre Tucker

Las Vegas Raiders · WR · #1

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under41.5

Over 41.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 41.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs NYG, 2025-12-28: 49, cleared, 6 targets
vs KC, 2026-01-04: 30, missed, 6 targets
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 27, missed, 4 targets
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 119, cleared, 7 targets
at NO, 2026-09-27: 43, cleared, 4 targets
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 44, cleared, 8 targets
at NE, 2026-10-11: 41, missed, 5 targets
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 97, cleared, 7 targets
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 103, cleared, 12 targets
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 1 targets

ClearedMissedThe 41.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–106.3 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 41.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 41.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 5 of 8; with another LV quarterback: 12 of 41
Defense vs wide receivers
SF allow 129.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 25th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6 (8 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

Splits

Over 41.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 41.5

Average: 55.3; +13.8 vs line
Median: 43.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −125

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −125, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3201 book	—	9/10
−2304 books	—	8/10
−1274 books	—	7/10
−1154 books	−1143 books	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1041 book	−1281 book	4/10
+1284 books	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 41.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 41.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 41.5	Under 41.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet5 min ago	−115	—
betPARX6 min ago	−115	−113Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−117	−114
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

41.5

43.5 → 41.5 since first seen