Theo Johnson

New York Giants · TE · #84

NYG @ PHI · Tomorrow 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Receptions, typical price −2155 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Receptions cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at CHI, 2025-11-09: 7, cleared, 8 targets
vs GB, 2025-11-16: 3, cleared, 4 targets
at DET, 2025-11-23: 3, cleared, 5 targets
at NE, 2025-12-01: 3, cleared, 8 targets
vs WSH, 2025-12-14: 3, cleared, 4 targets
vs MIN, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 2 targets
vs DAL, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 1 targets
at LAR, 2026-09-21: 0, missed, 4 targets
vs ARI, 2026-10-04: 1, cleared, 1 targets
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTargets

What's different tomorrow

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jameis Winston led NYG in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: J.J. McCarthy 1 (led the last game); Jaxson Dart 1. Over 0.5 with Winston at quarterback: 4 of 5; with another NYG quarterback: 23 of 24
Defense vs tight ends
PHI allow 4.1 receptions a game to tight ends: 29th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (4 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 6% over 4 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at HOU
Johnson has missed the last 2 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PHI

Receptions: 3 in 4 targets, Oct 26, 2025 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 2.3; +1.8 vs line
Median: 2.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −215
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Targets: 4; 10 games · 4.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 65%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2155 books	+1623 books	8/10
+2254 books	—	6/10
+8004 books	—	5/10
+8001 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−215Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−215Best	+160
BetRivers5 min ago	−215Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−220	+162
Bovada3 min ago	−230	+170Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −220 → −215 since first seen