Theo Johnson

New York Giants · TE · #84

NYG @ PHI · Tomorrow 1:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1105 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at CHI, 2025-11-09: 75, cleared, 8 targets
vs GB, 2025-11-16: 36, cleared, 4 targets
at DET, 2025-11-23: 77, cleared, 5 targets
at NE, 2025-12-01: 29, cleared, 8 targets
vs WSH, 2025-12-14: 72, cleared, 4 targets
vs MIN, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 2 targets
vs DAL, 2026-09-13: 9, cleared, 1 targets
at LAR, 2026-09-21: 0, missed, 4 targets
vs ARI, 2026-10-04: 11, cleared, 1 targets
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 35, cleared, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 lineTargets

What's different tomorrow

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jameis Winston led NYG in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: J.J. McCarthy 1 (led the last game); Jaxson Dart 1. Over 8.5 with Winston at quarterback: 4 of 5; with another NYG quarterback: 21 of 24
Defense vs tight ends
PHI allow 41.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 28th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (4 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 6% over 4 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at HOU
Johnson has missed the last 2 games

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PHI

Receiving Yards: 20 in 4 targets, Oct 26, 2025 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 34.4; +25.9 vs line
Median: 32; +23.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4; 10 games · 4.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1741 book	—	8/10
−1105 books	−1204 books	8/10
+1044 books	—	7/10
+1481 book	—	6/10
+2354 books	—	6/10
+2801 book	—	6/10
+3601 book	—	5/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bally Bet10 min ago	−109Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	−109Best	−120
BetRivers7 min ago	−110	−121
FanDuel5 min ago	−114	−114
Bovada10 min ago	−120	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −114 → −110 since first seen