T.J. Hockenson
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 41.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 41.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 41.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonTargets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 5.3 (7 games) · down 30%
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 41.5 with Murray at quarterback: 2 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 16 of 34
Defense vs tight ends
BUF allow 70.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 4th most of 32
7 games
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Splits
Over 41.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 41.5
- Average
- 37.5
- −4 vs line
- Median
- 32
- −9.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.6
- 10 games · 4.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 41.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4001 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −2504 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1275 books | −1101 book | 3/10 | |
| −1125 books | −1184 books | 3/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 3/10 | |
| +1434 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2354 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 41.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 41.5 | Under 41.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +106Best | −140 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −112 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −112 | −117 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −113 | −118 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
41.542.5 → 41.5 since first seen