Quinshon Judkins
HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 50.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 50.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 29.6–91.4 rush+rec yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 50.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season
Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 50.5 with Watson at quarterback: 3 of 7; with another CLE quarterback: 10 of 15
Defense vs running backs
HOU allow 118.0 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 20th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 15.7 carries + targets · 2026: 17.5 (8 games)
Target share: 4% last 3 games · 9% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NO
Splits
Over 50.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 50.5
- Average
- 58.9
- +8.4 vs line
- Median
- 50
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −109
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −109, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1223 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 4/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 3/10 | |
| +3203 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 50.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 50.5 | Under 50.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −115 | −115 |
Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
50.553.5 → 50.5 since first seen