Quinshon Judkins

Cleveland Browns · RB · #10

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under13.5

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1053 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at CHI, 2025-12-14: 12, missed, 12 carries
vs BUF, 2025-12-21: 8, missed, 8 carries
at JAX, 2026-09-13: 12, missed, 12 carries
at TB, 2026-09-20: 12, missed, 12 carries
vs CAR, 2026-09-27: 18, cleared, 18 carries
vs PIT, 2026-10-01: 17, cleared, 17 carries
at NYJ, 2026-10-11: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at TEN, 2026-10-25: 17, cleared, 17 carries
at PIT, 2026-11-01: 11, missed, 11 carries
at NO, 2026-11-08: 15, cleared, 15 carries

ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.2–18.4 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season
Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 13.5 with Watson at quarterback: 4 of 7; with another CLE quarterback: 10 of 15
Defense vs running backs
HOU allow 22.8 carries a game to running backs: 15th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 14.3 carries · 2026: 14.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NO

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 13.5

Average: 13.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 13; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −106

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −106, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7153 books	—	9/10
−2403 books	—	8/10
−1053 books	−1241 book	5/10
+1953 books	—	3/10
+3903 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	−105Best	—
betPARX14 min ago	−105Best	−124Best
BetRivers14 min ago	−107	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

−104 → −105 since first seen