Quentin Johnston
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs wide receivers
HOU allow 14.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 3rd most of 32
7 games
TonightTargets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 4.3 (6 games) · down 30%
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 14% over 6 games this season
Quarterback
Justin Herbert led LAC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 2.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 24 of 41; with another LAC quarterback: 2 of 5
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR
Game log against Over 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs HOU
Receptions: 5 in 8 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against HOU on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +101
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.8
- 10 games · 6.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 47%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3101 book | — | 7/10 | |
| +1012 books | −1332 books | 5/10 | |
| +2551 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | +102Best | −136 |
| Bovada7 min ago | +100 | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over +102 → +101 since first seen