Quentin Johnston
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different tonight
Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs wide receivers
HOU allow 195.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: the most of 32
7 games
TonightTargets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 4.3 (6 games) · down 30%
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 14% over 6 games this season
Quarterback
Justin Herbert led LAC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 30.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 24 of 41; with another LAC quarterback: 1 of 5
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR
Game log against Over 30.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 30.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs HOU
Receiving Yards: 98 in 8 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (home)
Over 30.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against HOU on record
L10 · Over 30.5
- Average
- 43.2
- +12.7 vs line
- Median
- 38.5
- +8 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.8
- 10 games · 6.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 30.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2501 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1801 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1321 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 6/10 | |
| +1341 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +2101 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 30.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 30.5 | Under 30.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
30.531.5 → 30.5 since first seen