Patrick MahomesQuestionable

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · #15

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1175 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs HOU, 2025-12-07: 59, cleared, 7 carries
vs LAC, 2025-12-14: 15, cleared, 2 carries
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 23, cleared, 7 carries
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 17, cleared, 2 carries
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 carries
at LV, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 2 carries
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 16, cleared, 5 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 14, cleared, 2 carries
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 2 carries
vs NYJ, 2026-11-08: 8, missed, 2 carries

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs quarterbacks
ATL allow 5.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 31st most of 32
9 games
SunCarries
Last 3: 2 carries · 2026: 2.9 (8 games) · down 31%
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ
Game lines
KC −3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ATL

Rushing Yards: 17 in 6 carries, Sep 22, 2024 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 15.9; +7.4 vs line
Median: 14.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 3.2; 10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2301 book	—	8/10
−1175 books	−1144 books	6/10
+1004 books	pick'em only	6/10
−1101 book	−1201 book	6/10
+1881 book	—	5/10
+2554 books	—	2/10
+5201 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle5 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet5 min ago	−117	—
betPARX5 min ago	−117	−112Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−118	−113
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

−114 → −117 since first seen