Noah Gray
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
10%1 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 5 of 46; with another KC quarterback: 0 of 4
Carries + targets
Last 3: 2.7 carries + targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Game lines
KC −10 · total 47.5 (8 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
- Price implies
- 17%
- at +500
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 2.5
- 10 games · 2.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +5002 books | pick'em only | 1/10 | |
| +60002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada9 min ago | +500Best | — |
| FanDuel8 min ago | +500Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +490 → +500 since first seen