Noah Gray
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 2.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 18 of 46; with another KC quarterback: 1 of 4
Defense vs tight ends
NYJ allow 5.5 receptions a game to tight ends: 14th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Game log against Over 2.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 1.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 2.5
- 10 games · 2.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.