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Noah Gray

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · #83

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder19.5
—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 19.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 22 of 46; with another KC quarterback: 1 of 4

  • Defense vs tight ends

    NYJ allow 59.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 10th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games)

    Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Game log against Over 19.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. vs HOU, 2025-12-07: 14, missed, 3 targets
  2. vs DEN, 2025-12-25: 2, missed, 1 targets
  3. at LV, 2026-01-04: 30, cleared, 5 targets
  4. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 5, missed, 1 targets
  5. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 1 targets
  6. at MIA, 2026-09-27: 39, cleared, 3 targets
  7. at LV, 2026-10-04: 17, missed, 3 targets
  8. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 53, cleared, 3 targets
  9. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 44, cleared, 3 targets
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 15, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 19.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 19.5

Average
21.9
+2.4 vs line
Median
16
−3.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
—
2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
2.5
10 games · 2.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 19.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 19.5Under 19.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

20.5 → 19.5 since we started recording it

Noah Gray's full game log and splits