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Noah Gray

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · #83

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder13.5
Over 13.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 13.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. vs HOU, 2025-12-07: 14, cleared, 3 targets
  2. vs DEN, 2025-12-25: 2, missed, 1 targets
  3. at LV, 2026-01-04: 30, cleared, 5 targets
  4. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 5, missed, 1 targets
  5. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 1 targets
  6. at MIA, 2026-09-27: 39, cleared, 3 targets
  7. at LV, 2026-10-04: 17, cleared, 3 targets
  8. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 53, cleared, 3 targets
  9. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 44, cleared, 3 targets
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 15, cleared, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 13.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 28 of 45; with another KC quarterback: 1 of 4

  • Defense vs tight ends

    NYJ allow 59.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 10th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games)

    Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 13.5

Average
21.9
+8.4 vs line
Median
16
+2.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
2.5
10 games · 2.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 13.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1594 books—7/10
−1311 book−1011 book7/10
−1143 books−1152 books7/10
−1152 books−1152 books7/10
−1041 book—6/10
+1654 books—4/10
+2101 book—4/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 13.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 13.5Under 13.5
FanDuel2 min ago−114Best−114Best
Bovada2 min ago−115−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

10.5 → 13.5 since first seen

Noah Gray's full game log and splits