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Nate Boerkircher

Jacksonville Jaguars · TE · #87

JAX @ BAL · Live
OverUnder9.5
Over 9.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1371 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 9.5

50%3 of 6L6

Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 6 games (1 of 1 on the road).

  1. vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 9, missed, 1 targets
  2. vs NE, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
  3. at CIN, 2026-10-04: 15, cleared, 2 targets
  4. vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 20, cleared, 2 targets
  5. vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 8, missed, 2 targets
  6. vs IND, 2026-11-01: 31, cleared, 1 targets
ClearedMissedThe 9.5 lineTargets

What's different yesterday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • YesterdayRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week

  • Defense vs tight ends

    BAL allow 46.5 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.5 (6 games)

    Target share: 5% last 3 games · 5% over 6 games this season

  • BAL injuries

    Jaylinn Hawkins (S, Out, 4.5 tackles); Nate Wiggins (CB, Out, 3.9 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 9.5 · L6 · counts, not in order

No game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L6 · Over 9.5

Average
13.8
+4.3 vs line
Median
12
+2.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
3 of 6
Price implies
58%
at −137
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
1.5
6 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L6
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL6
pick'em onlypick'em only4/6
−1371 book—3/6
+1851 book—2/6
+3801 book—1/6
Compare 1 sportsbook at 9.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 9.5Under 9.5
Bally Bet17 hr ago−137Best—

Prices as of 8:26 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

6.5 → 9.5 since first seen

Nate Boerkircher's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:28 PM ET.