Nate Boerkircher
JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 8.5
67%4 of 6L6
Over 8.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 6 games (1 of 1 on the road).
What's different today
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Defense vs tight ends
BAL allow 46.5 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.5 (6 games)
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 5% over 6 games this season
Game lines
JAX −10 · total 39.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 8.5 · L6 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L6 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 13.8
- +5.3 vs line
- Median
- 12
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 67%
- 4 of 6
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 1.5
- 6 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L6| Line | Over | Under | L6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1801 book | — | 5/6 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 5/6 | |
| −1134 books | −1173 books | 4/6 | |
| +1024 books | — | 3/6 | |
| +1581 book | — | 3/6 | |
| +2654 books | — | 2/6 | |
| +3201 book | — | 1/6 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −112Best | −117 |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −113 | −118 |
| FanDuel6 min ago | −113 | −113Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.56.5 → 8.5 since first seen