Nate Adkins

Denver Broncos · TE · #45

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +6505 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightCarries + targets
Last 3: 2.7 carries + targets · 2025: 1.7 (7 games) · up 59%
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 7% over 3 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games) · Adkins has 3 games this season
CAR injuries
Akayleb Evans (CB, Injured Reserve, 3.4 tackles); Will Lee III (CB, Questionable, 4.7 tackles); Jaelan Phillips (LB, Questionable, 3.2 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 2 on the road).

vs CIN, 2025-09-29: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at PHI, 2025-10-05: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
at NYJ, 2025-10-12: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
vs NYG, 2025-10-19: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs DAL, 2025-10-26: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 1, cleared, 4 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Total Touchdowns: 1 in 1 carries + targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 13%; at +650
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 2; 10 games · 1.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+6505 books	pick'em only	4/10
	+75005 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+700Best	—
Bally Bet2 min ago	+650	—
betPARX2 min ago	+650	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+650	—
Bovada2 min ago	+625	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen