Mitchell Evans
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs tight ends
DEN allow 6.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 6th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.7 (7 games)
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 4% over 7 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +2.5 · total 44.5 (9 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 36%
- at +180
- Books’ fair
- 33%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 1.7
- 10 games · 1.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 33%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 8/10 | |
| +1802 books | −2502 books | 3/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | +182Best | −250 |
| Bovada3 min ago | +180 | −245Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5+182 → +180 since first seen