Mitchell Evans
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 7.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs tight ends
DEN allow 68.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.7 (7 games)
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 4% over 7 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +2.5 · total 44.5 (9 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 13.7
- +6.2 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 1.7
- 10 games · 1.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 6/10 | |
| −1081 book | −1201 book | 5/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −120Best | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.58.5 → 7.5 since first seen