Michael Penix Jr.
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
Game log against Under 31.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 31.5 Passing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 22.6–38 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 31.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
CIN allow 34.4 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 30.3 attempts · 2026: 28 (6 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at TB
Game lines
ATL +3 · total 52.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 31.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 31.5
- Average
- 28.7
- −2.8 vs line
- Median
- 30
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −108
Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −108, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5903 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −3353 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1903 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1205 books | −1214 books | 5/10 | |
| +1283 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +1953 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +2853 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 31.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 31.5 | Under 31.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada14 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| Pinnacle14 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| betPARX14 min ago | −120 | −121 |
| BetRivers14 min ago | −120 | −121 |
| Bally Bet14 min ago | −120 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
31.5Under: −120 → −121 since first seen