Matthew Golden
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 5.5 with Love at quarterback: 5 of 21; with another GB quarterback: 0 of 2
Defense vs wide receivers
NE allow 12.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 12.7 targets · 2026: 10.3 (8 games)
Target share: 30% last 3 games · 26% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game log against Over 5.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 4.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 46%
- at +118
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 9
- 10 games · 3.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14304 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4204 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1754 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1185 books | −1523 books | 5/10 | |
| +2254 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4254 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +8004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +120Best | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +120Best | −157 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +118 | — |
| Bovada1 min ago | +115 | −150Best |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +114 | −152 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Over +117 → +118 since first seen