Matthew Golden
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
What's different tonight
Over 67.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 67.5 with Love at quarterback: 7 of 21; with another GB quarterback: 0 of 2
Defense vs wide receivers
NE allow 152.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 12.7 targets · 2026: 10.3 (8 games)
Target share: 30% last 3 games · 26% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game log against Over 67.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 67.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
Count only
Over 67.5 · L10L10 · Over 67.5
- Average
- 71.1
- +3.6 vs line
- Median
- 81.5
- +14 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 9
- 10 games · 3.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 67.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5004 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2754 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1624 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1134 books | −1153 books | 6/10 | |
| −1044 books | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1434 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2104 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 67.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 67.5 | Under 67.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −113Best | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | −113Best | −115 |
| BetRivers8 min ago | −114 | −117 |
| FanDuel8 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
67.5Over −114 → −113 since first seen