Matthew Golden

Green Bay Packers · WR · #0

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under69.5

Over 69.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1175 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 69.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at CHI, 2026-01-10: 84, cleared, 5 targets
at MIN, 2026-09-13: 95, cleared, 12 targets
at NYJ, 2026-09-20: 58, missed, 6 targets
vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 100, cleared, 12 targets
at TB, 2026-10-04: 21, missed, 7 targets
vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 123, cleared, 7 targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 104, cleared, 13 targets
at DET, 2026-10-25: 39, missed, 12 targets
vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 79, cleared, 13 targets
at NE, 2026-11-08: 164, cleared, 10 targets

ClearedMissedThe 69.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 20.1–132.3 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 69.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 69.5 with Love at quarterback: 8 of 22; with another GB quarterback: 0 of 2
Defense vs wide receivers
MIN allow 119.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 29th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 11.7 targets · 2026: 10.2 (9 games)
Target share: 30% last 3 games · 27% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NE

Splits

Over 69.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIN

Receiving Yards: 95 in 12 targets, Sep 13 (away)

Over 69.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 69.5

Average: 86.7; +17.2 vs line
Median: 89.5; +20 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −125

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −125, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3054 books	—	8/10
−1824 books	—	7/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	7/10
−1175 books	−1144 books	7/10
+1304 books	—	6/10
+1854 books	—	5/10
+2654 books	—	4/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 69.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 69.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 69.5	Under 69.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle6 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet6 min ago	−117	—
betPARX6 min ago	−117	−112Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−118	−113
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

69.5

−114 → −117 since first seen