Marvin Mims Jr.

Denver Broncos · WR · #19

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price −1525 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 1.5 with Nix at quarterback: 26 of 37; with another DEN quarterback: 5 of 9
Defense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 12.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 2.8 (5 games)
Target share: 10% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC

90%9 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs JAX, 2025-12-21: 3, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2025-12-25: 3, cleared, 4 targets
vs LAC, 2026-01-04: 2, cleared, 3 targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 8, cleared, 8 targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 4, cleared, 6 targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 3 targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 2 targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 4 targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 2 targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receptions: 1 in 2 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −152
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Targets: 3.8; 10 games · 4.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8354 books	—	10/10
−1525 books	+1173 books	9/10
+2054 books	—	4/10
+5504 books	—	2/10
+9201 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bovada7 min ago	−150Best	+115
Bally Bet7 min ago	−152	—
betPARX7 min ago	−152	+117
BetRivers7 min ago	−155	—
FanDuel7 min ago	−168	+126Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −168 → −152 since first seen