Malik Willis
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs quarterbacks
DET allow 2.57 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: the most of 32
7 games
New team
7 games with MIA; before that, GB
Over 1.5 with MIA: 2 of 7; his last 10 games before: 0 of 10
Pass attempts
Last 3: 26.7 attempts · 2026: 26.1 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE
Game log against Over 1.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 0.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 39%
- at +154
- Books’ fair
- 37%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 21.6
- 10 games · 8.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 37%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3601 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +1541 book | −2101 book | 2/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | +154Best | −210Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: +144 → +154 since first seen