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Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · #2

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +2901 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • New team

    7 games with MIA; before that, GB

    Over 0.5 with MIA: 3 of 7; his last 9 games before: 2 of 9

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 5.7 carries + targets · 2026: 5.1 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE

  • Game lines

    MIA +7 · total 50.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    MIA's games this season closed at 42.2 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 0.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2025-11-23: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  2. at CHI, 2025-12-20: 0, missed, 10 carries + targets
  3. vs BAL, 2025-12-27: 2, cleared, 9 carries + targets
  4. at LV, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 6 carries + targets
  5. at SF, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  6. vs KC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
  7. at MIN, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  8. vs CIN, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  9. at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  10. vs NE, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.5
±0 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
26%
at +290
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
5.7
10 games · 5.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+2901 bookpick'em only4/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada5 min ago+290Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Malik Willis's full game log and splits