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Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · #2

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder17.5
Over 17.5 Completions, typical price −1221 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs quarterbacks

    DET allow 26.9 completions a game to quarterbacks: the most of 32

    7 games

  • New team

    7 games with MIA; before that, GB

    Over 17.5 with MIA: 2 of 7; his last 10 games before: 1 of 10

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 26.7 attempts · 2026: 26.1 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE

Game log against Over 17.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 17.5 Completions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2025-11-23: 1, missed, 1 attempts
  2. at CHI, 2025-12-20: 9, missed, 11 attempts
  3. vs BAL, 2025-12-27: 18, cleared, 21 attempts
  4. at LV, 2026-09-13: 15, missed, 27 attempts
  5. at SF, 2026-09-20: 14, missed, 23 attempts
  6. vs KC, 2026-09-27: 20, cleared, 36 attempts
  7. at MIN, 2026-10-04: 9, missed, 17 attempts
  8. vs CIN, 2026-10-11: 15, missed, 27 attempts
  9. at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 14, missed, 21 attempts
  10. vs NE, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 32 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 17.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 17.5

Average
13.6
−3.9 vs line
Median
14.5
−3 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −122
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Pass attempts
21.6
10 games · 8.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 17.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1221 book−1081 book3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 17.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 17.5Under 17.5
Pinnacle7 min ago−122Best−108Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

Over No move since first seen

Malik Willis's full game log and splits