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Kyren Williams

Los Angeles Rams · RB · #23

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder88.5
Under 88.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 88.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 88.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at SEA, 2026-01-25: 61, hit, 12 carries + targets
  2. vs SF, 2026-09-10: 65, hit, 14 carries + targets
  3. vs NYG, 2026-09-21: 97, missed, 14 carries + targets
  4. at DEN, 2026-09-27: 158, missed, 22 carries + targets
  5. at PHI, 2026-10-04: 147, missed, 29 carries + targets
  6. vs BUF, 2026-10-12: 76, hit, 24 carries + targets
  7. vs ARI, 2026-10-18: 67, hit, 16 carries + targets
  8. at LV, 2026-10-25: 121, missed, 18 carries + targets
  9. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 59, hit, 17 carries + targets
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-08: 61, hit, 19 carries + targets
Under hitMissedThe 88.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 28.6–127.3 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 88.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs running backs

    ARI allow 133.2 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 11th most of 32

    9 games

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 18 carries + targets · 2026: 19.2 (9 games)

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 13% over 9 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at WSH

  • Game lines

    LAR −9.5 · total 39.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    LAR's games this season closed at 47.9 on average (9 games)

Splits

Under 88.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Rush+Rec Yards: 67 in 16 carries + targets, Oct 18 (home)

Under 88.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against ARI on record

L10 · Under 88.5

Average
91.2
+2.7 vs line
Median
71.5
−17 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −122

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price beats our fair −122, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1141 book−1141 book6/10
——6/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 88.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 88.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 88.5Under 88.5
FanDuel6 min ago−114Best−114Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

88.5

No move since first seen

Kyren Williams's full game log and splits