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Kyren Williams

Los Angeles Rams · RB · #23

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder64.5
Under 64.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 64.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 64.5 Rushing Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at SEA, 2026-01-25: 39, hit, 10 carries
  2. vs SF, 2026-09-10: 41, hit, 11 carries
  3. vs NYG, 2026-09-21: 85, missed, 12 carries
  4. at DEN, 2026-09-27: 88, missed, 15 carries
  5. at PHI, 2026-10-04: 80, missed, 16 carries
  6. vs BUF, 2026-10-12: 49, hit, 16 carries
  7. vs ARI, 2026-10-18: 50, hit, 10 carries
  8. at LV, 2026-10-25: 99, missed, 16 carries
  9. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 56, hit, 16 carries
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-08: 45, hit, 15 carries
Under hitMissedThe 64.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 30.2–86.6 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 64.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Defense vs running backs

    ARI allow 99.6 rushing yards a game to running backs: 14th most of 32

    9 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 15.7 carries · 2026: 14.1 (9 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at WSH

  • Game lines

    LAR −9.5 · total 39.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    LAR's games this season closed at 47.9 on average (9 games)

Splits

Under 64.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Rushing Yards: 50 in 10 carries, Oct 18 (home)

Under 64.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against ARI on record

L10 · Under 64.5

Average
63.2
−1.3 vs line
Median
53
−11.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −122

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price beats our fair −122, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5801 book—1/10
−2701 book—4/10
−1521 book—6/10
−1141 book−1141 book6/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
+1141 book—6/10
+1821 book—6/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 64.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 64.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 64.5Under 64.5
FanDuel10 min ago−114Best−114Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

64.5

No move since first seen

Kyren Williams's full game log and splits