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Kyren Williams

Los Angeles Rams · RB · #23

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price +1401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at SEA, 2026-01-25: 2, missed, 2 targets
  2. vs SF, 2026-09-10: 3, missed, 3 targets
  3. vs NYG, 2026-09-21: 2, missed, 2 targets
  4. at DEN, 2026-09-27: 6, cleared, 7 targets
  5. at PHI, 2026-10-04: 10, cleared, 13 targets
  6. vs BUF, 2026-10-12: 6, cleared, 8 targets
  7. vs ARI, 2026-10-18: 3, missed, 6 targets
  8. at LV, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 2 targets
  9. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 1 targets
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-08: 3, missed, 4 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 5.1 (9 games) · down 55%

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 13% over 9 games this season

  • Defense vs running backs

    ARI allow 3.3 receptions a game to running backs: 29th most of 32

    9 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at WSH

  • Game lines

    LAR −9.5 · total 39.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    LAR's games this season closed at 47.9 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Receptions: 3 in 6 targets, Oct 18 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against ARI on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
42%
at +140
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
4.8
10 games · 3.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5001 book—9/10
−1721 book+1281 book6/10
+1401 bookpick'em only3/10
+2801 book—3/10
+5501 book—3/10
+9201 book—1/10
+15001 book—1/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel16 min ago+140Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

2.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Kyren Williams's full game log and splits